基于复合系统协同度模型的科技金融“三链协同”研究——北京、上海和广东的一个比较实证分析

A Study on “Three-chain Synergy” of Science and Technology Finance Based on Synergy Degree Model of Composite System: A Comparative Empirical Analysis of Beijing, Shanghai and Guangdong

运用复合系统协同度模型,基于2008—2016年的样本数据,分别对北京、上海和广东科技金融“三链”之整体协同度及子系统有序度进行实证测度,并对实证结果进行比较分析。研究发现:(1)三地的科技金融“三链”整体上都处于不协同状态;(2)产业链有序度表现最差,应该对科技金融“三链”整体不协同负更多的责任;(3)制约“三链”之单链有序度的主要因素,在各地不尽相同。在此基础上提出以下对策建议:(1)统筹产业链、创新链和资金链的协同发展;(2)高度重视产业结构升级和高科技企业发展的有序性;(3)各地应针对各自短板,着力提高相应序参量的有序度。

Based on sample data from 2008 to 2016,this paper makes an empirical measurement of the Degree of General Synergy(DGS)and subsystem order degree of the“three chains”of science and technology finance in Beijing,Shanghai and Guangdong respectively,and makes a comparative analysis of the empirical results.The research findings are as follows.(1)The“three chains”of science and technology finance in the three regions are all in an uncoordinated state on the whole.(2)The order degree of the industrial chain is the worst,so it should take more responsibility for the overall non-coordination of the“three chains”of science and technology finance.(3)The main factors restricting the order degree of single chain of the“three chains”vary from place to place.On this basis,this paper puts forward the following countermeasures and suggestions:(1)To coordinate development of industrial chain,innovation chain and capital chain.(2)To attach great importance to the upgrading of industrial structure and the orderly development of high-tech enterprises.(3)Each region should focus on improving the degree of order of the corresponding order parameters according to its own weaknesses.