基于模糊评价理论的工程投（融）资项目风险量化分析

Quantitative Analysis of Advance Contract Risk Based on Fuzzy Evaluation Theory

在投(融)资项目中,承包商面临着不同于一般项目的风险。为了定量评价投(融)资项目风险,在对投(融)资项目风险因素进行分析的基础上,构建了基于模糊评价方法的风险量化评价模型,并将该方法结合算例进行分析,对承包商在投(融)资项目风险上的决策具有一定的指导意义。

In the funded project,the contractor faces the risk of different and general projects.In order to quantitatively evaluate the risk of the funded project,based on the analysis of the risk factors of the funded project,a risk quantitative evaluation model based on the fuzzy evaluation method was constructed.The method is combined with an example to analyze and select the optimal project.The risk level is medium,and it can be undertaken after effective protection.It has certain guiding significance for the decision of the contractor on the risk of the funded project.