新时代中俄自贸区构建的制约因素与推进路径

The Constraints and Promoting Paths of the Building of China-Russia FTA in the New Era

中俄自由贸易区的构建,对新时代中国加快实施自由贸易区战略乃至推进合作共赢的开放体系建设具有重大现实意义。运用经典的贸易引力模型理论、新贸易理论和当代前沿的异质性企业贸易理论分析发现,两国经济规模差异过大、企业创新能力偏弱、贸易层次较低、基础设施及其互联互通建设较差,是制约中俄自由贸易区构建的四大主要经济因素。中共十八大以来,在两国元首的战略引领下,中俄全面战略协作伙伴关系发展进入了新时代。这既为两国经贸和投资互利共赢合作的拓展创造了前所未有的条件,也为破解中俄自由贸易区构建的四大制约因素带来了战略机遇。为此,应顺势而为,从如下四方面推动中俄自由贸易区的构建:一是推进"一带一路"建设与欧亚经济联盟建设对接合作,促进两国经济共同繁荣;二是扩大科技创新合作深度和广度,打造中俄创新共同体;三是发挥顺向投资产业升级效应,促进两国产业结构共同升级;四是深化金融合作与创新,加快两国基础设施及其互联互通建设。

The building of China-Russia FTA is of great practical significance for China to accelerate the implementation of the FTA strategy and promote the construction of an open system of win-win cooperation in the new era. Based on the analysis of classic trade gravity model theory,new trade theory and contemporary frontier heterogeneous firms’ trade theory,it is found that the four major economic factors restricting the building of China-Russia FTA are the too larger economic scale difference between the two countries,the weaker innovation ability of enterprises,the lower level of trade,and the poor construction of infrastructure and interconnection. Since the 18 th CPC National Congress,under the strategic guidance of the top leaders of these two countreis,the development of China-Russia comprehensive strategic partnership of coordination has entered a new era. This not only creates unprecedented conditions for the expansion of mutually beneficial and win-win cooperation in economy,trade and investment between the two countries,but also brings strategic opportunities for solving the four constraints of the building of China-Russia FTA. Therefore,we should follow the trend and promote the building of China-Russia FTA from the following four aspects:first,promoting the docking and cooperation between the construction of the Belt and Road and the construction of Eurasian Economic Union to promote the common economic prosperity of the two countries;second,expanding the depth and breadth of scientific and technological innovation cooperation to create a China-Russia innovation community;third,playing the role of upgrading the industrial structure of the two countries to promote the industrial structure of both countries;and fourth,deepening financial cooperation and innovation to accelerate the construction of infrastructure and connectivity between the two countries.