基于Binary logistic模型的公共自行车出行选择影响因素研究

Study on the Influencing Factors of Public Bicycle Travel Choice Based on Binary Logistic Model

以江苏省盐城市为调查对象,运用SP和RP相结合的调查方法,设计调查方案并采集分析数据;基于Binary logistic建立公共自行车出行选择模型,探讨公共自行车使用者的潜在动机和非使用者的阻碍因素。结果表明:年龄、是否拥有私家车、政策决策支持、步行至站点距离太远和基础设施条件5个因素影响公共自行车的出行选择,其中政策决策支持和步行至站点距离太远是影响三线城市有桩公共自行车选择的主要因素。

Taking Yancheng city of Jiangsu province as the investigation object,the investigation scheme is designed and the analysis datas are collected by using the investigation method combining SP and RP.Binary logistic is used to build a public bicycle travel choice model to explore the potential motivations of public bicycle users and the obstacles of non-users.The research results show that five factors,such as age,ownership of private cars,policy decision support,too far walking distance to the station and infrastructure conditions,influence whether residents choose public bicycles when travelling.Among them,policy decision support and and the long distance from walking to the station are the main factors that influence the public bicycle in third-tier cities.