中日两国的服务贸易发展与经济增长质量关系的实证研究

Empirical Research on the Relationship between the Development of Service Trade and the Quality of Economic Growth in China and Japan

以厘清中日两国的服务贸易发展状况及其与经济增长质量的关系为主旨,具体的研究是在分析中日两国的服务贸易发展、经济增长特点考察的基础上,再以实证分析方法进行论证。时间段选为2000年至2016年,在运用Malmquist指数法得到中国和日本全要素生产率的增长率后,再依次为中国和日本建立时间序列模型,进行综合性的实证分析。研究表明,中国服务贸易进出口与经济增长质量之间正相关,且相较于服务贸易进口,中国的服务贸易出口对本国经济增长质量有着更大的贡献度;于日本而言,其服务贸易进出口与经济增长质量之间却均不存在显著的线性关系;中日两国在国际服务贸易领域的竞争优劣互有长短,基本呈现错位竞争的态势。

This paper aims to clarify the development of service trade in China and Japan as well as its relationship with the quality of economic growth respectively.The specific research is based on the analysis of the development of service trade and the characteristics of economic growth in China and Japan,and then the empirical method was utilized to demonstrate.During the period from year 2000 to 2016,the Malmquist index was used to obtain the growth rates of total factor productivity for both China and Japan,and then two time series models were established to conduct the comprehensive empirical analysis.The results show that both the import and the export of Chinese service trade are positively correlated with the quality of economic growth.Besides,compared with the import of service trade,the export of service trade has a greater contribution to the quality of economic growth.While for Japan,there is no significant linear relationship between the development of service trade and the quality of economic growth.The competitive advantages of China and Japan in the field of international service trade are different,basically presenting a trend of complementary competition.