社区风险防范的三角形模型构建及应用

Construction and application of triangle model for community risk prevention

社区风险防范是实现社区安全的基础,社区风险防范的基础理论模型研究具有重要的理论与实践意义.首先,基于公共安全三角形理论,分析社区风险防范主体要素(社区风险承灾载体、社区风险分类和社区应急管理)的内涵.其次,依据安全管理科学理论,运用理论思辨法,在剖析社区风险防范内涵的基础上,提出社区风险防范三角形模型.最后,分别从监测监控、预测预警和综合防范三方面,解析三角形模型,并进行应用实例分析.研究发现,社区风险防范三角形模型强调社区安全管理应基于全周期全体系的风险综合防范,该模型可为全面认识社区风险防范及社区安全管理提供有效的理论指导与支撑.

Community risk prevention is the basis of urban safety.Research on the basic theoretical model for community risk prevention has important theoretical and practical significance.First of all,based on the triangle theory of public safety and security,this paper deeply analyzes the main factors of community risk prevention,including community risk bearing carrier,types of community risks and community emergency management.Then,according to safety management theory,this paper puts forward a triangle model for community risk prevention on the basis of analyzing the connotation of community risk prevention by theoretical thinking method.Finally,the connotation of triangle model is expounded in detail from three aspects:monitoring and control,forecasting and warning,comprehensive prevention,and this triangle model is verified with an instance.The study found that,the triangle model for community safety risk prevention emphasizes that,the community safety construction should be carried out comprehensively based on the whole cycle and the whole system of community risk response.Moreover,the model will provide effective guidance and support to understand community risk prevention and community safety construction.