摘要
本文从经济发展、人口发展、社会建设、生态环境以及城乡一体化五个方面构建低碳绿色新型城市化评价指标体系,运用熵权TOPSIS法、系统耦合协调度模型和探索性时空数据分析法(ESTDA),测度和分析了2000-2015年中国30个省域低碳绿色新型城市化系统的综合发展水平、协调关系和演进特征。研究表明:从时序看,中国低碳绿色新型城市化系统耦合协调度在整体上呈现上升趋势,空间联系不断增强;从空间看,中国各省域耦合协调度呈现"空间集聚性"和"空间异质性"并存的空间演进特征,表现出一定的路径依赖性或空间锁定效应。
This paper constructs an evaluation index system of a low-carbon green new urbanization from five aspects of economic development,population development,social construction,ecological environment,and urban-rural integration,which uses entropy-weight TOPSIS method,system coupling coordination degree model and exploratory space-time data analysis method( ESTDA),and measures the comprehensive development level,coordinating relations and evolutionary characteristics of low-carbon green new urbanization systems in 30 provinces of China during 2000-2015. The research shows that: from the aspect of time,the coupling degree of the low-carbon green new urbanization system shows an upward trend,and the spatial relationship is continuously increasing. From the aspect of space,the coupling coordination degree of all regions shows the spatial evolutionary characteristics of both " spatial agglomeration" and " spatial heterogeneity",and shows certain degree of path-dependence or lock-in effect.
作者
顾剑华
李梦
杨柳林
GU Jian-hua;Li Meng;YANG Liu-lin(Business School,Guilin University of Electronic Technology,Guilin Guangxi 541004,China;College of Electrical Engineering,Guangxi University,Nanning Guangxi 530004,China)
出处
《系统科学学报》
CSSCI
北大核心
2019年第4期86-92,共7页
Chinese Journal of Systems Science
基金
国家社会科学基金项目“快速城市化背景下我国经济增长低碳化路径研究”(13BJL093)
广西高校中青年教师基础能力提升项目“环境规制下西部地区承接产业转移碳排放绩效研究”(ky2016YB137)
2018年广西研究生教育创新计划项目“欠发达资源富集地区绿色发展路径研究”(YCSW2018148)
关键词
新型城市化
耦合协调度
时空演进
探索性时空数据分析
new urbanization
degree of coupling coordination
spatio-temporal evolution
exploratory spatio-temporal data analysis