西方制裁背景下日俄经济关系发展研究

Japan-russia Economic Relations under the Background of Western Sanctions

2014年克里米亚事件后,西方七国发动对俄制裁。制裁给安倍政权对俄经济、外交等方面的政策带来直接影响。2016年5月,日本提出开启日俄经济合作"新方案"以推动两国关系。作为对俄新的政策基础,日本采取"信号型"制裁策略,为前期双边合作做舆论铺垫。在具体行动上,采取政府主导下"以官带民"方式推进经济合作计划,意图通过"互惠互利"的经济外溢效果,追求"北方四岛"问题的解决以及东北亚地缘战略的平衡。由于两国在经济合作中的诉求重心不尽一致、西方制裁的限制、以及双方结构性矛盾导致信任缺失,两国的经济合作依然存在障碍。

After the Crimea incident in 2014,seven western countries launched sanctions against Russia.Sanctions have directly affected the Abe regime’s policies on Russia’s economy,foreign affairs and other aspects.In May 2016,Japan put forward a"new plan"for Japan-russia economic cooperation to promote bilateral relations in a"roundabout way".As the basis of the new policy towards Russia,Japan adopted the"signal-type"sanctions strategy and curve avoidance to pave the way for bilateral cooperation in the early stage.In concrete actions,we will take a government-led approach to promote economic cooperation.Through the economic spillover effect of"reciprocity and mutual benefit",the author intends to pursue the solution of the"four northern islands"problem and the balance of geostrategy of northeast Asia.Economic cooperation between the two countries remains an obstacle due to the different priorities of their economic cooperation,the restrictions imposed by western sanctions,and the lack of trust caused by the structural contradictions between the two countries.