京津高教规模与经济增长的协同性研究——基于弹性系数视角

A comparative study of synergy between higher education scale and economic growth in Beijing and Tianjin:Based on an elasticity analysis

从弹性系数来看,北京、天津高等教育规模与区域经济虽然在大部分年份实现了同向变动,但二者协同水平欠佳。两市本专科生与研究生规模弹性系数变化趋势相似。在研究期间内,天津本专科生规模弹性系数值总体高于北京,而北京研究生规模弹性系数值总体高于天津。从高等教育专任教师规模弹性系数来看,天津相对北京具有滞后性,且天津该系数值相对稳定,北京该系数值波动更为显著。两市高等教育规模弹性系数的变化趋势与我国高等教育宏观政策密切相关。从需求水平与供给能力来看,北京市与天津市高等教育规模仍然有待提升,且应在规模扩大的同时更加契合经济社会需求。

Judging by the scale elasticity coefficient of higher education in Beijing and Tianjin,higher education and regional economy have changed in the same direction in most years while the synergy level between the two is not high.The trends of scale elasticity coefficient of postgraduates and college students in the two cities are similar,but the scale elasticity coefficient of college students in Tianjin is higher than that of Beijing in most years,while the scale elasticity coefficient of postgraduates in Beijing is higher than that of Tianjin in most years.Judging from the scale elasticity coefficient of full-time teachers in higher education,Tianjin has been lagging behind Beijing,and the elasticity coefficient of Tianjin is relatively stable.In Beijing,the coefficient value fluctuates more significantly.The trends of higher education scale elasticity coefficient in the two cities are closely related to the macro policy of higher education in China.Judging from the demand level and supply capacity,the scales of higher education in Beijing and Tianjin still still need to be improved and higher education should better meet the economic and social needs while the scale is expanded.