摘要
利用2012-2019年化州市化橘红物候观测资料与同期气象观测数据,分析化橘红开花气候条件,建立化橘红始花期预测模型。在此基础上,设计化橘红开花指数指标,并综合考虑赏花旅游气象因子,初步确定化橘红赏花旅游气象指数的计算方法与等级划分。结果表明,化橘红始花期预测模型和赏花旅游气象指数在业务服务应用效果好,可以为当地旅游部门科学运营管理、人民群众合理安排旅游计划提供气象服务参考依据。
Based on the phenological observation data and meteorological observation data of the same period from 2012 to 2019 in Huazhou City,the climatic conditions for the blooming of pummelo peel were analyzed,and the prediction model for the initial flowering period of pummelo peel was established.On this basis,we designed pummelo peel blossom index and considered flower viewing tourism meteorological factors comprehensively to determine the calculation method and classification of the flower viewing tourism meteorological index.The results show that the forecast model of pummelo peel’s initial flowering period and the flower viewing tourism meteorological index are effective in the application of business services,which can provide the meteorological service reference for the local tourism departments and the reasonable planning of tourism plans for the people.
作者
陈冰
马路金
何泽华
李国龙
邱世善
宋祖钦
Chen Bing;Ma Lujin;He Zehua;Li Guolong;Qiu Shishan;Song Zuqin(Huazhou Meteorological Service,Huazhou Guangdong 525100)
出处
《气象研究与应用》
2019年第4期77-80,共4页
Journal of Meteorological Research and Application
基金
茂名市气象局科技项目
化州市科技项目“基于GIS的化橘红气象灾害区划与应用研究”
茂名科技计划项目“气候条件对化橘红开花结果的影响研究及应用”
关键词
化橘红
始花期
预测
气象指数
初探
pummelo peel
initial flowering period
forecast
meteorological index
initial survey
