摘要
为探究在雾霾治理背景下安徽省产业结构转型升级调整路径,选取了2008—2017年安徽省面板数据,通过灰色关联模型和向量自回归模型研究发现:煤炭和石油的消耗对雾霾影响较大,第二产业对于煤炭、石油和天然气等能源的依赖性较大,但在长期发展中,煤炭、石油等能源的消耗对第一、二产业发展的促进作用减弱,甚至出现抑制作用,因此安徽省产业转型应提高创新能力,促进高新技术产业发展;促进传统制造业与第三产业相结合,加强第二产业集中度,提高资源利用率。
In order to explore the adjustment path of industrial structure transformation and upgrading in Anhui Province under the background of haze control,the panel data of Anhui Province from 2008 to 2017 were selected,and the study of the self-regression model of gray correlation model and vector correlation were used.It is concluded that consumption of coal and oil had a greater impact on the haze,and the secondary industry had a greater impact on the smog.Energy dependence for oil and gas is greater.In the long-term development,the consumption of coal,oil and other energy will decrease,so Anhui Province's industrial transformation should improve innovation capacity,promote the development of high-tech industries,strengthen the concentration of secondary industry and improve the utilization rate of resources.
作者
倪萍萍
王建民
季伟
Ni Pingping;Wang Jianming;Ji Wei(School of Economic and Management,Anhui University of Science and Technology,Huainan,Anhui 232000,China)
出处
《黑龙江工业学院学报（综合版）》
2019年第12期90-95,共6页
Journal of Heilongjiang University of Technology(Comprehensive Edition)
基金
国家自然科学基金面上项目“区域承接产业低碳发展绩效评价与驱动模式创新”(71473001)
中国博士后科学基金面上资助项目“我国碳金融发展驱动政策设计与路径创新”(2017M621324)
关键词
雾霾
能源消耗
产业结构
产业转型
haze
energy consumption
industrial structure
industrial transformation
