“峰会年”看澜湄地区制度竞合

Competition and Cooperation in the Lancang-Mekong Region in the “Year of Summits”

澜沧江—湄公河地区合作制度之间的竞争与合作正在日益复杂化.2018年作为“峰会年”,可以为评估该地区的制度竞合提供有效的视角.通过提出参与成员是否具有排他性、主导成员是否为同类型国家、议题领域是否重叠、合作内容是否涉及“高级政治”、目标原则是否具有外向性这5个维度的指标进行系统评估,并对中国、日本、越南和泰国四个关键国家的互动进行案例分析,文章发现,澜湄地区合作制度之间的竞争被夸大了;澜湄合作与日本—湄公河合作互为主要的竞争对象,但前者是被动跟随而非主动挑起竞争;柬老越发展三角、柬老缅越合作与伊洛瓦底江—湄南河—湄公河三河流域经济合作战略也相互竞争,但后者正在取得优势;澜湄合作与大湄公河次区域经济合作、湄公河委员会之间不会出现“制度达尔文主义”.

The"year of summits"for the Lancang-Mekong Region in 2018 offers an opportunity to assess the region’s institutional cooperation and competition.This article conducts a case analysis of China,Japan,Vietnam and Thailand as a means of systematically considering this issue,and in doing so,takes into consideration a total of five micro-level variables:whether proposed participants for a particular platform are inclusive;whether the overall national strength of the leading nations between the institutions are at the same level;whether issues are overlapping;whether cooperation involves"high level politics"and whether the platform’s principle objectives are external.The article finds that levels of competition across cooperative Lancang Mekong Regional institutional frameworks have been overly exaggerated;that competition is greatest between the Lancang Mekong Cooperation and the Japan Mekong River Cooperation,but that such competition is more passive than active;and that there is competition among three respective development platforms.