农村产业融合发展的减贫效应及非线性特征——基于面板分位数模型的实证分析

The Effect and Nonlinear Characteristics of Rural Industrial Convergence Development on Poverty Alleviation ——Empirical Analysis based on Panel Quartile Model

基于农村产业融合发展影响农村贫困减缓的内在机理,利用2010—2017年中国省际面板数据,采用LSDV方法和面板分位数回归方法,实证检验了农村产业融合发展对农村贫困减缓的基准影响以及非线性效应。结果发现:农村贫困程度与农村产业融合发展之间的负向关系十分明显,即农村产业融合发展显著促进了农村贫困减缓;与此同时,农村产业融合发展对农村贫困减缓存在着显著边际递减的非线性驱动效应,即在农村贫困程度由高变低的动态过程中,农村产业融合发展对农村贫困减缓的边际作用逐步减弱。研究结论有助于理解农村产业融合与农村贫困减缓的关系,能够为乡村振兴和农村产业融合发展提供新的见解。

Based on the internal mechanism of the impact of rural industrial convergence development on rural poverty alleviation,this paper empirically tested the benchmark impact and nonlinear effect of rural industrial convergence development on rural poverty alleviation by using China's inter-provincial panel data from 2010 to 2017,LSDV method and panel quantile regression method.The results show that there is an obvious negative correlation between rural poverty level and rural industrial convergence development,that is,rural industrial convergence development has significantly promoted the alleviation of rural poverty.At the same time,rural industrial convergence development has a nonlinear driving effect of significant marginal decline on the alleviation of rural poverty.That is to say,in the dynamic process from high to low level of rural poverty,the marginal effect of rural industrial convergence development on the alleviation of rural poverty gradually weakens.The conclusion of this paper not only helps to understand the relationship between rural industrial convergence and rural poverty alleviation,but also provides new insights for rural revitalization and rural industrial convergence development.