易地扶贫搬迁农户意愿的影响因素研究——基于农户期望的视角

Factors of Households’ Willingness of Poverty Alleviation Relocation: Based on the View of Households’ Expectancy

从国家层面宏观引导到地方各级施政场域,易地扶贫政策是逐级落地的,这一过程对该政策与地方发展水平和相关利益群体诉求的适应性提出了很高的要求。以效价-期望理论为依据,从可行能力视角选取可能对迁出户搬迁意愿产生影响的因素,使用因子分析方法与多元Logistics模型研究不同因素对农户搬迁意愿产生影响的效应大小与途径。研究结果显示,移居后居住条件情况、移居后收入预期情况、政策感知情况以及移民的年龄、汉语水平与收入情况会显著影响农户搬迁意愿。为此,政策执行主体应深入密切联系群众,在充分尊重群众意愿的基础上,构建起多元互动的政策实践网络,不断完善各项分类指导与保障、加强自身城镇化建设,重视对政策对象的宣传教育。

From macro level to local governance fields,policy of poverty alleviation relocation had been carrying out step by step.This process put high demands on adaptability of policy to level of local development and appeal of relevant interest groups.Based on Value-Expectancy theory and Sen's capability theory,this paper measured critical factors influence households'willingness of poverty alleviation relocation form perspective of households'expectancy,by using factor analysis method and multiple logistics regression model.Results show that perceived living conditions after migration,perceived income after migration,policy perception and age,Chinese proficiency and annual household income are major factors affecting their willingness to relocate.The author suggested that the grass roots governments should keep in close touch with the masses to provide classified guidance and security based on public will.While stepping up urbanization construction,enhancing the propagation and education of public were pointed also.