时空视角下城市产业发展的演化特征及趋势分析——以重庆市为例

An Analysis of the Evolution Characteristics and Trends of Urban Industrial Development from the Perspective of Time and Space:A Case Study of Chongqing

在我国经济转向高质量发展的大背景下,厘清产业发展演化规律对于推动城市经济结构转型升级具有不可忽视的意义。本文以重庆直辖以来各次产业的数据为基础,从时间和空间维度分析重庆产业发展的演化趋势,并结合其发展规律对19972017年来的产业发展进行阶段性划分,深入分析各阶段的产业发展特征。研究结果表明:(1)重庆市各次产业中第三产业发展相对迅猛,县域产业结构空间差异逐渐增大;(2)直辖以来重庆产业发展经历了“V”型、“W”型和“L”型增长阶段,各阶段经济增长及产业发展特征差异显著;(3)重庆已从经济高速增长进入到平稳较快增长阶段,互联网产业及第三产业发展存在较大潜力。

Under the background of our country’s economy turning to high-quality development,it is of great significance to clarify the evolution law of industrial development for promoting the transformation and upgrading of urban economic structure.Based on the data of various industries since Chongqing became a municipality directly under the central government,this paper analyses the evolution trend of Chongqing’s industrial development from the time and space dimensions,and divides the industrial development stages from 1997 to 2017 according to its development law,and thoroughly analyses the characteristics of industrial development at all stages.The results show that:(1)the development of tertiary industry in Chongqing is relatively fast,and the spatial difference of county industrial structure is gradually increasing;(2)Chongqing’s industrial development has undergone“V”,“W”and“L”growth stages with significant differences in economic growth and industrial development characteristics in different stages;(3)Chongqing has entered the stage of steady and rapid economic growth from high-speed economic growth,and the Internet industry and the tertiary industry have great potentials.