社会稳定风险六边弹性均衡模型的构建

Construction of six sides elastic equilibrium model for social stability risk

社会稳定系统毫无疑问是一个动态的复杂系统,而社会稳定风险正是这一复杂系统涌现的产物。现在的问题是近年兴盛于我国并且方兴未艾的社会风险评估事业,在评估方法上,总是拘泥于综合指标体系为主要评估手段的窠臼而徘徊不前,这种情况很可能导致评估结果的静止化、孤立化和片面化。为此本文尝试提出社会稳定风险评估的六边形弹性均衡模型,以期使我们的社会稳定风险评估具有动态性、可推演性和更加普遍的关联性。

social stability system is undoubtedly a dynamic and complex system,and the risk of social stability is the product of the emergence of this complex system.Now the problem is that the social risk assessment is flourishing in our country in recent years and is in the ascendant.In the evaluation method,it is always stuck in the rigidity of the comprehensive index system as the main evaluation means,which may lead to the static,isolated and one-sided evaluation results.Therefore,this paper attempts to propose a hexagonal elastic equilibrium model for social stability risk assessment,in order to make our social stability risk assessment dynamic,deductible and more universal.