全面二孩政策下城市女性生育意愿的影响因素——基于CGSS数据的研究

Study of Influencing Factors of Urban Women’s Fertility Desire Under the Universal Two-child Policy Based on the CGSS Data

2016年,政府正式颁布全面二孩政策以鼓励夫妇生育,但成效并不显著。为了研究城市女性生育意愿的影响因素,探索如何提升其生育意愿,以期向政府和企业提出政策性建议,本文依据2015年CGSS项目的调查数据,对城市女性进行样本分析。分析结果表明:年收入越高,生育意愿越低;受教育程度越高,生育意愿越低。这说明要提高城市女性生育意愿,需帮助高收入、高学历女性在生育与事业之间取得平衡。

In 2016,the central government officially promulgated the universal two-child policy to stimulate the birth of more children.However,the effects of the policy are not significant.This paper seeks to investigate the influencing factors of urban women’s fertility desire,and to provide governments and enterprises with policy recommendations to promote the fertility desire of urban women.The results of the analysis of urban women’s fertility desire based on the survey data of the CGSS project in 2015 show that the higher the annual salary of urban women,the lower their fertility intention;and the more educated they are,the less likely they are willing to have children.Therefore,to improve urban women’s desire to have children,it is necessary to help those women who have high income and education level strike a balance between giving birth to a children and career development.