摘要
Geoengineering(deliberate climate modification)is a possible way to limit Anthropogenic Global Warming(AGW)(Shepherd,2009;National Research Council,2015).Solar Radiation Management geoengineering(SRM)offers relatively inexpensive,rapid temperature control.However,this low cost leads to a risk of controversial unilateral intervention—the“free-driver”problem(Weitzman,2015).Consequently,this creates a risk of counter-geoengineering(deliberate warming)(Parker et al.,2018),resulting in governance challenges(Svoboda,2017)akin to an arms race.Free-driver deployment scenarios previously considered include the rogue state,Greenfinger(Bodansky,2013),or power blocs(Ricke et al.,2013),implying disagreement and conflict.We propose a novel distributed governance model of consensually-constrained unilateralism:Countries’authority is limited to each state’s fraction of the maximum realistic intervention(e.g.,pre-industrial temperature).We suggest a division of authority based on historical emissions(Rocha et al.,2015)—noting alternatives(e.g.,population).To aid understanding,we offer an analogue:An over-heated train carriage,with passenger-controlled windows.We subsequently discuss the likely complexities,notably Coasian side-payments.Finally,we suggest further research:Algebraic,bot and human modeling;and observational studies.
