中美贸易摩擦与资本主义世界体系的困境

China-US Trade Friction and the Dilemma of Capitalism World System

资本主义的去工业化与金融化使得当前世界体系的经济增长模式建立在全球贸易失衡的基础之上,并且需要一些发达国家以持续的加杠杆和信用扩张为前提。这就决定了世界体系的不稳定性与全球经济增长模式的不可持续性,进而也就构成了美国推动贸易再平衡,高举贸易保护大旗,针对中国制造贸易摩擦。因此,对于中国而言,长期解决贸易摩擦的根本出路在于降低本国经济增长对美国市场出口的依赖,而短期应对中美贸易摩擦则需要充分考虑为经济结构转型调整创造必要的时间与空间。

Currently,the deindustrialization and financialization processing in the capitalism countries have made the global trade imbalance become the foundation of the economic growth model of the world system,and some developed countries are required to continue to increase leverage and credit expansion.This determines the instability of the world system and the unsustainability of the global economic growth model,which in turn constitutes the reason why the United States promotes trade rebalancing,holds high the banner of trade protection,and creats trade frictions targeting China.Therefore,for China,the fundamental way to solve trade frictions in the long run is to reduce the dependence of domestic economic growth on the export to US,while the shortterm response to China-US trade frictions needs to get the necessary time and space ready for the transformation of economic structure in the future.