江苏出口贸易与制造业转型升级研究

On Transformation and Upgrading of Export and Manufacturing in Jiangsu

通过理论分析构建创新、环保和就业这三大制造业转型升级的价值取向,并进一步通过面板回归模型对江苏出口贸易与制造业转型升级的关系进行了实证分析,发现:江苏制造业总体出口贸易有利于改善环境、增加就业和激励创新;在三大类型制造业中,江苏劳动密集型制造业的出口贸易有利于改善环境、增加就业和激励创新;资本密集型制造业和技术密集型制造业这两大类型制造业的出口贸易都有利于增加就业;技术密集型制造业的出口贸易不利于激励创新。最后,基于实证结果提出相应启示。

The paper first constructs in theory three value orientation of transformation and upgrading of manufacturing industry-innovation, environmental protection and employment. Next, based on the panel data regression model, it makes an empirical analysis of the relationship between export and manufacturing transformation and upgrading in Jiangsu. The analysis shows the export of the manufacturing is conducive to environmental improvement, employment growth and innovation promotion;among the three major types of manufactures,labor-intensive manufacture export is conducive to environmental improvement, employment growth and innovation promotion;the export of capital-intensive and technology-intensive manufactures is are conducive to increasing employment;the export of technology-intensive manufactures is not conducive to stimulating innovation. Finally, the paper gives corresponding revelations based on the empirical results.