旅游业与城镇化耦合效率的特征与演进模式研究——以广东省21市为例

The Characteristics and Evolutional Model of Coupling Efficiency between Tourism and Urbanization: The Case of Guangdong Province

耦合效率是衡量协同发展程度的重要指标。文章采用数据包络分析法和Malmquist指数法,对广东省21个地级市2005~2018年的面板数据进行分析,探索旅游业与城镇化耦合效率的特征与演进规律。结果显示:广东省总体耦合效率较高,但城市之间存在较大差异;根据效率大小和变化程度,可将耦合效率类型分为双高型、进步型、双低型和疲软型4种;各城市的效率类型是动态变化的,按照其发展路径,可分为稳定式、徘徊式、突变式和随机式4种演进模式。具有不同效率类型和演进模式的城市应采取不同措施,以促进旅游业与城镇化协同发展。

In recent years,the coordinated development of tourism and urbanization has been paid more and more attention.On one hand,tourism promotes the development of urbanization.On the other hand,urbanization drives the development of tourism.The coupling efficiency is an important index to measure the degree of their cooperative development.Therefore,the data envelopment analysis and Malmquist index method are used to analyze the panel data of 21 cities in Guangdong province from 2005 to 2016 to explore the characteristics and evolutional rules of the coupling efficiency between tourism and urbanization.The results show a high overall coupling efficiency of Guangdong Province,but with great differences between cities.The coupling efficiency can be divided into four types:double-high type,progressive type,double-low type and weak type.The efficiency types of each city are dynamic.According to its development path,they can be divided into four evolutional modes:stable type,reciprocative type,saltatory type and random type.Cities with different efficiency types and evolutional models should take different measures to promote the coordinated development of tourism and urbanization.