湖南成品油市场需求的动态变化及其影响因素研究

Research on Dynamic Change of Refined Oil Market Demand and Its Influencing Factors in Hu’nan

通过对湖南地区1990-2017年成品油市场需求的动态变化进行系统研究,分析影响湖南成品油市场需求的各种因素,认为湖南成品油市场需求具有区域性特点。通过格兰杰因果检验和误差修正模型,发现地区生产总值、固定资产投资水平、产业结构变迁、城镇化水平等因素对湖南地区成品油市场需求有明显的影响。

Through a systematic study on the dynamic changes of refined oil market demand in Hu’nan from 1990 to 2017,various factors affecting the market demand for refined oil in hunan were analyzed,and it was concluded that the market demand for refined oil in Hu’nan has regional characteristics.According to granger causality test and error correction model,it is found that GDP,investment level of fixed assets,change of industrial structure,urbanization level and other factors have obvious influence on the market demand of refined oil products in Hu’nan.