金融集聚、科技创新与经济增长——以长江经济带为例

Financial Agglomeration, Technological Innovation and Economic Growth ——Taking the Yangtze River Economic Belt as an example

在测度2006-2017年长江经济带各省市金融集聚和科技创新指标的基础上,通过建立多元线性回归模型考察金融集聚对经济增长的直接促进效应,通过中介效应模型试图找出金融集聚促进经济增长的基本路径。结果显示:金融集聚对经济增长具有显著的直接促进作用,且金融集聚度每增加1,将推动经济水平提升27.71%;金融集聚还能通过支持科技创新进而间接促进经济增长,且金融集聚通过支持科技创新进而促进经济增长的中介效应为0.1642;科技创新是金融集聚促进经济增长的基本路径,金融集聚促进经济增长的两条间接路径分别为:金融集聚→科技创新→经济增长,金融集聚→科技创新→金融集聚→经济增长。因此,促进经济增长,既要进一步加强长江经济带的金融集聚程度,又要提高科技创新水平,更要强化金融集聚和科技创新的相互作用。

On the basis of measuring the financial agglomeration and scientific and technological innovation indicators of the provinces and cities in the Yangtze River Economic Belt from 2006 to 2017,the multi-linear regression model is established to investigate the direct promotion of financial agglomeration on economic growth,and the mediation effect model is set up to explore the basic path of financial agglomeration promoting economic growth.The results show that financial agglomeration has a significant direct effect on economic growth.Each additional unit of financial agglomeration will promote the economic level by 0.2771 units.In addition,financial agglomeration can also indirectly drive economic growth by promoting technological innovation.The mediating effect of driving technological innovation to promote economic growth is 0.1642.Technological innovation is the basic path for financial agglomeration to promote economic growth,and the two indirect paths for financial agglomeration to promote economic growth are:financial agglomeration→technological innovation→economic growth,financial agglomeration→technology innovation→financial agglomeration→economic growth.Therefore,to promote economic growth,it is necessary not only to further strengthen the financial agglomeration of the Yangtze River Economic Belt,but also to improve the level of scientific and technological innovation,and to strengthen the interaction between financial agglomeration and technological innovation.