农业劳动力转移性流失、耕地抛荒与“柔性”政策选择研究

A Study on the Shifting Loss of Agricultural Labor,the Abandonment of Cultivated Land and the Choice of "Flexible" Policy

农业劳动力转移性流失与耕地大规模抛荒是当前我国农业生产面临的两个重大问题,直接影响我国粮食生产及粮食安全。基于此,文章首先分析了我国劳动力转移性流失的现状,采用农业劳动力就业占总劳动力比重变动指数剖析了农业劳动力转移性流失对我国粮食安全的影响;在此基础上,剖析了我国耕地大规模抛荒的现状和原因,采用物质损益与价值损益模型分析了耕地抛荒对我国粮食安全的影响;最后,针对我国农业劳动力转移性流失及其导致的大规模耕地抛荒问题、结合我国农业与农村经济发展状况,提出了五个方面的“柔性”治理策略。

The shifting loss of agricultural labor force and large-scale abandonment of cultivated land are two major problems facing China's agricultural production,which directly affect China's food production and food security.Based on this,this paper firstly analyzes the status quo of China's labor transfer loss,and analyzes the impact of agricultural labor transfer loss on China's food security by using the change index of the proportion of agricultural labor employment in the total labor force.On this basis,this paper analyzes the status quo and causes of large-scale abandonment of cultivated land in China,and analyzes the impact of large-scale abandonment of cultivated land on China's food security by means of material gain and loss and value gain and loss model.Finally,in view of the agricultural labor force caused by metastatic erosion and its large-scale farmland pastureland problems,combined with the development of agriculture and rural economy in our country,puts forward five aspects of"soft"governance policies.