摘要
文章利用中国跨境电子商务综合试验区建设的准自然实验,基于2012-2017年中国36个大中城市面板数据,运用双重差分法系统评估和检验了中国跨境电子商务综合试验区建设对跨境电商发展的影响及其影响机制。回归结果表明,贸易便利化政策促进了跨境电商的发展,各项稳健性检验证明了研究结论的可靠性;影响机制分析结果表明便利化的政策措施是通过提升信息化水平和经济发展水平来促进跨境电商发展的,且政策效果与当地总体发展水平密切相关。因而,中国应亟须深化贸易便利化改革,为跨境电商的发展构建更加完善而高效的制度体系。
Using the establishment of Cross-border Ecommerce Experimental Zones in China as a quasi-natural experiment,a Difference-in-Difference(DID)study was conducted on panel data collected on 36 large and medium-sized cities in the 2012-2017 period,so as to evaluate the effect of such experimental zones on the development of cross-border ecommerce.Regression results indicate that trade facilitation policies embodies in these experimental zones significantly promote cross-border ecommerce development.Robustness tests were also conducted to ensure the reliability of the results.In addition,path analysis was carried out,which shows that such policies impact local cross-border ecommerce by promoting local ICT penetration and aggregate local economic development.As a result,further trade facilitation policies are recommeoded in order to establish a nurturing and efficient institutional framework for cross-border ecommerce development.
作者
张锡宝
石以涛
徐保昌
ZHANG Xi-bao;SHI Yi-tao;XU Bao-chang(School of Economics,Qingdao University,Qingdao 266061,China;Shandong World Economic Research Center,Qingdao University,Qingdao 266061,China)
出处
《华东经济管理》
CSSCI
北大核心
2020年第2期94-103,共10页
East China Economic Management
基金
国家社会科学基金项目“中国服务业‘增值贸易’核算及在全球价值链分工中的地位研究”(15BGJ036)、“供应链网络视角下促进企业绿色转型发展的碳减排政策研究”(19BGL091)
关键词
跨境电商
双重差分法
贸易便利
政策效应
综试区
cross-border ecommerce
the difference-in-difference method
trade facilitation
policy effects
experimental zones