图书馆学、情报学与档案学2029年发展前景研究

Development Prospects of Library Science, Information Science and Archival Science in 2029

文章回答了两个研究问题:中外图书馆学、情报学与档案学三个专业的现实关系;2029年图书馆学、情报学与档案学三个专业的发展前景。经问卷调查与网络调查,文章将国内外图书馆学、情报学和档案学的关系类型分为:图书馆学主导、情报学主导、档案学主导、图书馆学与情报学主导、三者或二者均衡发展。中国大陆的学科发展中档案学主导类型比国外更丰富一些。经过民族志未来访谈研究,文章归纳了54位受访者认为的三个专业的独特使命、研究对象和刻板印象;受访者认为图书馆学的独特使命是为保障信息公平对信息开展组织和存取;情报学的独特使命是为特定用户提供信息加工和分析,从而使得信息效率最大化;档案学则是为保存信息凭证价值而适当控制信息流动。受访者所在学科点三个专业话语权排序为情报学大于图书馆学,图书馆学大于档案学;受访者对图书馆学未来前景相对更悲观一些;对档案学未来前景相对更乐观一些,对情报学的乐观程度介于图书馆学与档案学之间。文章梳理了三个专业在2029年基本生存状态、发展规模、与技术结合的趋势、服务社会、科研与教育、人才培养等方面的最乐观、最悲观和最可能实现的场景,并从个人修为、学科建设、基础理论与知识创新、研究技能与方法、理论联系实际等方面归纳了受访者为实现最有可能实现的前景而要付出的行动。文章进一步梳理了受访者对2029年图书馆学、情报学和档案学三者的关系,包括六种关系类型、九个一级学科名称(如果还在一个一级学科下的话)、两类局部分开类型(如果分散在不同一级学科下的话)。

This research answers two research questions:(1) The realistic relationship among the three majors of library science, information science, and archival science at home and abroad;(2) The development prospects of the three majors of library science, information science, and archival science in 2029. After questionnaire surveys and network surveys, the paper classifies the relationships among library science, information science, and archival science at home and abroad into five: library science as leader, information science as leader, archival science as leader, library science and information science as leaders, the balanced manner. In the development of disciplines in China's Mainland, the leading types of archival science are more abundant than in foreign countries. Through ethnographic future interview research,the paper summarizes the unique missions, research objects, and stereotypes of the three majors proposed by 54 young scholars;the discourse power of three majors where the young scholars come from ranks as information science first, library science second, and archival science as the third. The paper summarizes the most optimistic, pessimistic, and most likely scenarios of the three majors’ basic survival status, development scale, and trend of technology integration, society serving ways, scientific research and education, and talent cultivation in 2029. Personal literacy, discipline development, basic theory and knowledge innovation, research skills and methods, and integration of theory with practice are classified from the actions that respondents will have to make to achieve the most likely prospects in 2029. This paper further combs the relationships of the three subjects of library science, information science and archival science in 2029,including six types of relations, nine first-level discipline names(if still under a first-level discipline), and two types of separation(if scattered across different first-level disciplines).