区域制造业空间效应及生产性服务业发展模式选择

通过空间计量模型考察生产性服务业发展模式与制造业集聚的空间溢出效应后发现:生产性服务业专业化水平及多样化水平与制造业集聚呈倒U型关系,同时城市化水平会对服务业发展模式与制造业集聚关系产生影响。分区域模型研究发现,生产性服务业对制造业全要素生产率影响因区域经济发展水平、产业层次、要素禀赋等因素有所差异,东部地区制造业全要素生产率与生产性服务业呈线性关系,适合选择多样化发展模式;中部地区呈倒U型关系,现阶段中部地区生产性服务业更适合选择多样化发展模式;西部地区生产性服务业发展水平与制造业全要素生产率呈正U型关系,生产性服务业专业化和多样化发展都将促进制造业全要素生产率提升。

This paper investigates the spatial spillover effect between the development mode of productive service industry and manufacturing agglomeration through spatial econometric model.The results show that the level of specialization and diversification of productive service industry has an inverted U-shaped relationship with manufacturing agglomeration,and the level of urbanization will have an impact on the relationship between service industry development mode and manufacturing agglomeration.The research of sub-regional model shows that the impact of producer services on TFP will be different due to the factors such as regional economic development,industrial level and factor endowment.Eastern region fits to choose a diversified development mode because of the linear relationship between TFP and productive service industry.It will be better for central region to choose a diversified development model at this stage because of the inverted U-shaped relationship.Both the specialization and diversification of productive service industry will promote the TFP in western region because of the positive U-shaped relationship with the total factor productivity of manufacturing industry.