一种基于ARP 4754A的民机机载系统研制项目风险分析方法研究

Study of Civil Aircraft Airborne System Development Project Risk Analysis Method Based on ARP 4754A

全面的风险识别、准确的风险评估以及方便的风险管理是民机机载系统研制成功的重要保障之一。本文以传统的WBS-RBS方法为基础,提出了基于ARP 4754A的WBS分解以及针对民机机载系统特征的RBS分解的风险识别方法,构建WBS-RBS风险判断矩阵,以适应先进的民机机载系统研制流程和风险特征并全面识别项目风险。针对识别的风险采用层次分析法(AHP)和模糊评价法相结合的方式进行风险评估,并在此基础上构建项目风险登记表。为民机机载系统研制项目的风险分析提供思路和借鉴。

Comprehensive risk identification,accurate risk assessment and convenient risk management for the civil aircraft airborne system project is an important guarantee for the successful development of the project.Based on the traditional WBS-RBS method,in this paper present a WBS based on ARP 4754A and a RBS based on civil aircraft airborne system and build the risk matrix to adapt to advanced civil aircraft airborne system development process and risk characteristics,and fully identify project risks.In view of the risks,AHP and fuzzy evaluation are combined to carry out risk assessment,and on this basis,the project risk registration form is constructed to facilitate risk tracking and management.It will provide ideas and references for risk analysis of civil aircraft airborne system development project.