历史演进视角下特朗普政府东北亚政策研究

A Study of Trump Administration’s Northeast Asia Policy from the Perspective of Historical Evolution

二战以来,美国始终保持对东北亚地区的政策投入;冷战时期,美国东北亚政策以遏制苏联为主要目标,轮替将中国、日本作为制衡苏联的主要力量;冷战结束后,美国东北亚政策的主要遏制对象转向中国,不断强化美国的同盟关系,打压俄罗斯和朝鲜。特朗普上任美国总统以来,加大了对东北亚地区的政策力度,从经济、政治、安全等多个领域扰动东北亚和平与发展。在特朗普政策的影响下,东北亚区域合作的经济一体化进程加速,并向非经济领域拓展,然而安全利益变得错综复杂,和平压力加大。为应对特朗普政府政策的不利影响,中国应该从推动次区域合作、稳定国内经济、密切中俄战略协作、加强中美对话等多方面,维护东北亚和平的发展环境。

Since the Second World War,the United States has always maintained its policy investment to the Northeast Asia.During the Cold War,the United States’Northeast Asian policy focused on containing the Soviet Union,for achieve the goal,the Unite States took China and Japan as the main forces to balance the Soviet Union.After the Cold War,the main target of US Northeast Asian policy turned to contain China,and it continued to strengthen US alliances and suppress Russia and North Korea.Since taking office,Trump has strengthened his policy on Northeast Asia based on the goal of"making the United States great again,"disrupting peace and development in Northeast Asia from multiple areas,including economics,politics,and security.Under the influence of Trump’s policies,the economic integration process of Northeast Asia regional cooperation has accelerated and expanded to non-economic areas,however,security interests have become more complicated and pressure for peace has increased.To cope with the adverse effects of the Trump administration’s policies,China should maintain a peaceful development environment in Northeast Asia in a number of ways,including promoting sub-regional cooperation,stabilizing the domestic economy,strengthening China-Russia strategic cooperation,and strengthening China-US dialogue.