生产性服务业集聚、房价上涨与地区绿色经济效率提升——基于中国大中型城市数据的实证分析

Agglomeration of Productive Service industry,Rise of Housing Price and Efficiency Improvement in Regional Green Economy:An Empirical Study Based on the Data of Large and Medium-sized Cities in China

选取2004-2017年中国35个大中城市的面板数据,构造广义空间自回归模型对生产性服务业集聚、房价上涨与地区绿色经济效率提升三者之间的关系进行分析。实证结果表明:当以房价作为干扰因素作用于生产性服务业集聚活动时,房价的上涨使得生产性服务业集聚的绿色经济效应由正转负,从而绿色经济产出前沿未能实现,地区绿色经济效率发生损失;绿色经济的正负“空间回波”作用博弈表明,房价上涨带来的负向影响比生产性服务业的正向影响更为突出;溢出效应表明,内生性的房价攀升将引致地区内原有集聚企业的区际转移,新集聚地加持的各类集聚效应将推动新地区绿色经济效率的提升,从而间接形成绿色经济正向溢出效应。

Based on the panel data of 35 large and medium-sized cities in China from 2004 to 2017,this paper constructs a generalized spatial auto-regressive model to analyze the relationship among the agglomeration of productive service industry,the rise of housing prices and the efficiency improvement in regional green economy.The empirical results show that when the housing price is used as the interference factor in the agglomeration activities of the productive service industry,the rise of housing prices makes the green economy effect of the agglomeration activities of the productive service industry change from positive to negative,so that the frontier of green economy output cannot be realized,thus resulting in the loss of efficiency in green economy.The game of positive and negative“space echo”role of the green economy shows that the negative factors brought about by the rise in housing prices are more prominent than the positive green effects of the productive service industry.The spillover effect indicates that endogenous housing prices will rise,leading to the interregional transfers of agglomerated enterprises,and various agglomeration effects of new agglomerations will promote the efficiency of green economy in the new regions,thus indirectly forming a positive spillover of the green economy.