摘要
2019年,全球经济周期性放缓叠加国内结构性减速共振拖累我国经济较快下滑。文章分析了“周期”与“结构”两条逻辑主线的未来演绎,指出2020年,我国宏观经济下行压力有望阶段性缓解,这主要源于周期性因素的边际改善。但结构性掣肘对经济增长的拖累依然突出,供给侧改革仍将贯穿宏观调控的主线。国企改革、债务化解、都市圈等领域的发展或将有所提速。
In 2019,the combination of the cyclical slowdown in the global economy and the structural deceleration in China has dragged down China's economy.The article analyzes the future economic development from the perspectives of the two main lines of"cycle"and"structure".It points out that in 2020,the downward pressure on China's macro economy is expected to ease gradually,which is mainly due to the marginal improvement of cyclical factors.However,structural constraints still present a significant drag on the economy,and supply-side reform will still be the main thread running through the macroeconomic regulation and control.The development in reform of stateowned enterprises,debt resolution,and urban agglomerations may speed up.
出处
《中国货币市场》
2020年第2期9-11,共3页
China Money
