GDP与财政支出对居民消费的影响

On GDP and Expenditure Influencing Resident Consumption

居民消费在促进国民经济发展中起着重要的作用。提高居民的消费水平的关键在于找出影响居民消费水平的主要因素。本文采用《中国统计年鉴2018》中的统计数据,借助树立多元线性逐步回归分析模型,应用Eviews软件对模型进行深入剖析,在经过多重共线性检验和修正之后得出影响居民消费的主要因素是国内生产总值和财政支出,并从这两个方面出发提出打破市场分割和行业垄断、推进区域市场一体化建设、推进优化市场供需结构、加大减税降费力度等相应的改进措施以扩大居民消费。

Resident consumption has played an important role in developing national economy.Pushing the consumption level depends on finding out the major influence factors.The paper,using the statistical data from China Statistical Year Book 2018,has made the in-depth analysis by Eviews on multiple linear stepwise regression model.After the multiple collinear tests and corrections,the major influence factors on the consumption are determined by GDP and expenditure.And the paper,from the above-mentioned angles,has offered the improvement measures including breaking the market segmentation and industry monopoly,pushing the construction of regional market integration,optimizing the market supplying and demanding and making more efforts on tax cuts and fee reductions in order to expanding resident consumption.