海外高端消费回流对中国数字化和智能化产业升级的作用机制研究

Research on the Mechanism of the Reflux of Overseas High-end Consumption on Digital and Intelligent upgrade of Chinese Industry

中国经济进入新常态,经济增长向高质方向发展,产业升级是经济持续高质发展的重要途经。文章以跨境电子商务税收等一系列外贸政策背景下的高端消费回流(以国际精品品牌产品消费)为切入点,定性并定量(ARMA模型)论证高端消费回流对中国产业数字化智能化升级的作用机制,并获得结论:海外高端消费回流对国内规模化消费升级构成驱动力;海外高端消费回流通过三个路径有效推动相关产业数字化智能化升级;国内高端消费和产业数字化及智能化升级水平均呈增长趋势;高端消费回流是产业数字化智能化升级的有效预测变量,且二者呈统计显著正相关。

With a higher focus on the quality and efficiency of its growth,China’s economy has entered into"a new normal"pace.Industrial upgrade is an important way for sustained and high-quality economic development,and consumption upgrading is the basis of developing digital economy and improving the level of intellectualization.China is the worldwide largest market of luxury consumption,and with the publication of a series of foreign trade tax policies,especially the cross-border e-commerce tax policies,luxury consumption,as the high-end consumption in consumption upgrading,has an obvious trend of returning to domestic consumption from overseas,with an impact on the industrial upgrading in China.In this paper,regarding the reflux of overseas high-end consumption,especially the luxury consumption,as a starting point,the role of the reflux of overseas high-end consumption in promoting the digital and intelligent upgrade of Chinese industry has been demonstrated.This study has drawn four important conclusions:the reflux of overseas high-end consumption is an important part of China’s consumption upgrading,and it can draw a new turn of upgrade;the reflux of overseas high-end consumption can effectively promote the digital and intelligent upgrade of Chinese industry through three paths;the scale of the domestic high-end consumption and the level of the digital and intelligent upgrade of Chinese industry are showing an increasing trend;the scale of the high-end consumption can effectively predict,as well as raise the level of the industrial digital and intelligent upgrade.