摘要
重大风险防范化解是中国经济社会发展过程中面临的一个重大理论和实践问题。中国国内现有关于风险治理的研究,主要包括基于"怎么看"的认知取向和基于"怎么办"的过程取向两种路径。本文综合了这两种研究路径,以全面风险治理理论为基础,通过分析重大风险的基本特点、确定风险治理的基本任务,提出一个"想象力-敏感力-责任力-引导力-察觉力"的五要素风险治理过程性能力框架。这五项能力分别对应着风险识别、风险评估、风险处置、风险沟通、风险监测等风险治理的五个主要环节以及系统性、难测性、难控性、缩放性、动态性等重大风险的五个基本特点,共同构成了一个完整的风险治理过程性能力框架。通过对典型风险事件案例的刻画与分析,验证了该过程性能力框架的适用性和解释力。
The existing research on risk governance in China mainly includes two approaches:the cognitive orientation based on"how to understand"and the process orientation based on"what to do".By combing these two approaches,this paper proposes a five-factor framework of risk governance process of imagination,sensitivity,responsibility,monitoring and perception,based on an analysis of the basic characteristics of major risks and the basic tasks of risk governance.These five capabilities correspond to the five stages of risk governance(identification/assessment/treatment/communication/monitoring)and the five basic characteristics of risks(systemic/difficult to measure/difficult to control/social amplification/dynamic),which together constitute a complete process framework of risk governance capabilities.The applicability and explanatory power of this framework are verified by the description and analysis of typical risk cases.
作者
钟开斌
Zhong Kaihin(National Institute of Emergency Management,The Central Party School of the Communist Party of China(China National Academy of Governance),Beijing 100089)
出处
《中国行政管理》
CSSCI
北大核心
2019年第12期127-132,共6页
Chinese Public Administration
基金
国家社科基金项目“基于‘情景-应对’的城市综合风险治理体系研究”（编号：17BZZ038）
国家自科基金项目“突发事件情境下组织间协同研判行为分析与模式优化研究”（编号：71774098）
关键词
风险治理
过程性能力
基本框架
重大风险
risk governance
process capabilities
analytical framework
major risks
