配电网可靠性评估之序贯蒙特卡洛模拟法综述

Summary of Sequential Monte Carlo Simulation Method for Reliability Assessment of Distribution Network

叙述了配电网可靠性评估的重要性及常用的可靠性评估算法,同时详细介绍了序贯蒙特卡洛模拟法的基本原理,指出其评估可靠性的优势。最后,综合考虑元件故障与计划停电的时序排列、分布式电源加入后的抽样方法和收敛判断方法这三方面对序贯蒙特卡洛模拟法进行进一步研究,为后续可靠性评估提供参考。

This paper introduced the importance of reliability evaluation of distribution network and the commonly used reliability evaluation algorithms.The basic principle of sequential Monte Carlo simulation method was introduced in detail,and the advantages of its reliability evaluation were pointed out.Finally,the sequential Monte Carlo simulation method was further studied considering the sequence arrangement of component faults and planned blackouts,the sampling method after adding distributed generators and the convergence judgment method,which can provide some reference for subsequent reliability evaluation.