基于哈肯模型的农村金融生态系统协同演化机制分析——以河北省为例

Toward Cooperative Evolution Mechanism of Rural Financial Ecosystem--A Haken Model-Based Analysis of Hebei Province

农村金融发展呈现出内生性、自组织、自适应的复杂系统特征。基于协同学理论的哈肯模型,以河北省131个县2014-2017年数据为例,分析了农村金融生态系统的协同演化机制。研究发现:金融生态环境子系统是农村金融生态系统协同演化的序参量;农村金融生态环境子系统形成了有序度提升的自我强化机制,而农村金融主体子系统存在有序度增强的负反馈机制;从两个子系统的相互作用来看,农村金融生态环境有利于推动农村金融主体发展,但金融主体未能为农村经济社会环境的改善起到有效推动作用。

The development of rural finance presents complex system features that tend to be endogenous,self-organizing and adaptive.Based on the Haken model of synergy theory,taking the data of 131 counties of Hebei Province from 2014 to 2017 as an example,the study analyzed the co-evolution mechanism of rural financial ecosystem.The study finds that the financial ecological environment subsystem is the order parameter of the coordinated evolution of rural financial ecosystem;and the rural financial ecological environment subsystem forms a self-strengthening mechanism with orderly improvement,while the rural financial subject subsystem has a negative feedback with orderly enhancement.Judging from the interaction of the two subsystems,the rural financial ecological environment is conducive to the development of rural financial objects,but the financial subjects have no effect on promoting the improvement of rural economic and social environment.