全要素生产率、产业结构调整与经济增长——基于空间计量模型的研究

Total Factor Productivity, Industrial Structure Adjustment and Economic Growth—A Research Based on Spatial Econometric Model

本文基于2000-2016年30个省市间的区域面板数据,借助空间计量方法,在SDM模型下对全要素生产率、产业结构与经济增长这一问题进行实证分析。研究发现,全要素生产率的提升对本省经济增长有促进作用,而对邻近省份无显著影响;产业结构调整即产业结构服务化对本省经济增长无显著影响,而对邻近省份有显著的推动作用。其中,人力资本、城市化水平以及研发投入作为控制变量也对地区经济产生影响:人力资本的积累可以提升本地区经济增长水平,而城市化的推进以及研发投入的增加则能够同时推动本地区及邻近地区的经济增长。

This paper is based on the Regional Panel Data of 30 provinces and municipalities from 2000 to 2016.Analyze Total Factor Productivity,Industrial Structure and Economic Growth under SDM Model by using Spatial Econometric Method.t is found that the increase of total factor productivity has a positive effect on the economic growth of the province,but has no significant effect on the adjacent provinces;The adjustment of industrial structure,i.e.the service of industrial structure,has no significant effect on the economic growth of the province,but has a significant effect on the promotion of the adjacent provinces.Among them,human capital,urbanization level and R&D investment restrain the promotion of total factor productivity and the adjustment of industrial structure at the same time:The accumulation of human capital can improve the level of economic growth in the region,while the promotion of urbanization and the increase of R&D investment can simultaneously promote the economic growth of the region and its adjacent areas.