污染类邻避冲突事件共力耦合演化机理研究——基于耦合协调度模型

Research on the Co-Coupling Evolution Mechanism of Pollution NIMBY Conflict Events-Based on Coupling Coordination Degree Model

随着民主化进程的推进与公民环保意识的觉醒,由部分公共基础设施建设而诱发的邻避冲突事件逐年增多,并呈现出以抗议污染类项目为核心的发展趋势.污染类邻避冲突事件引致因素间耦合作用影响着事件演变方向,因而构建邻避冲突共力耦合模型,探究邻避冲突演化机理具有重要现实意义.基于耦合理论,在分析污染类邻避冲突事件发生的内在引致因素、外在引致因素、情绪引致因素、因素间共力耦合作用及事件内在演化机理的基础上,建立事件耦合度模型和耦合协调度模型,选取"余杭中泰垃圾焚烧厂事件"、"江苏启东事件"、"湖北仙桃垃圾焚烧发电厂事件"三起典型污染类邻避冲突事件探寻引致因素耦合度与邻避冲突发展演化的关系.研究发现,污染类邻避冲突事件引致因素耦合协调度与事件影响力值呈正相关关系,引致因素间耦合协调度与邻避冲突发展演化密切相关;情绪引致因素对污染类邻避冲突事件影响力起着强化推动作用,加速了事件的发展演化进程.研究结果为政府构建污染类邻避冲突事件引致因素阻断机制,多渠道化解民众群体情绪耦合力提供了新思路.

With the development of democracy and citizen’s environmental protection consciousness,the NIMBY conflicts caused by the construction of some public infrastructures increase year by year,and show a trend to pro-test against pollution project as the core.The coupling effect between the factors causing the pollution NIMBY conflict affects the development direction of events.Therefore,it is of great practical significance to construct a Co-Coupling Model of conflict events and explore the mechanism of event evolution.Based on coupling theory and the analysis of the intrinsic induced factors,extrinsic inducedfactors,emotional induced factors,coupling forces between inducedfactors and internal evolutionary mechanism of pollution NIMBY conflict events,selecting three pollution NIMBY events of“Yu hangZhongtai waste incineration plant event”,“Jiangsu Qidong event”and“Hubei Xiantao waste incineration power plant event”as typical cases,the event Co-Coupling Model and the Co-Coupling Coordination Degree Model are constructed in this paper to explore the relationship between the cou-pling degree of induced factors and the evolution of the pollution NIMBY conflict events.The research finds that there is a positive correlation between the coupling coordination degree and the influence value of the event,and the coupling coordination degree is closely related to the development and evolution of the conflict events;emotional factors in pollution NIMBY conflict play a strengthening push effect on the influence of the pollution NIMBY conflict events,and accelerate the process of the event development and evolution.The research results provide a new idea for the government to build the mechanism of blocking the induced factors of the pollution NIMBY conflict,and provide a new way to resolve the emotional coupling force of the masses.