电网设备调度运行风险辅助评估研究

Auxiliary Risk Assessment for Power Grid Equipment Dispatching and Operation

电网运行风险评估是保障其安全稳定运行的重要环节之一。对电网运行风险评估的概念及方法进行了介绍,根据长兴电网的基本运行情况,提出了电网设备调度运行风险辅助评估的概念。针对长兴电网设备运行的特点,通过蒙特卡洛模拟法进行了风险模拟,从而实现对风险的计算及定级。

The risk assessment of power grid operation is one of the important links to ensure its safe and stable operation. This paper introduces the concept and method of power grid operation risk assessment, and puts forward the concept of power grid equipment dispatching operation auxiliary risk assessment based on the basic operation situation of Changxing power grid. According to the characteristics of equipment operation in Changxing power grid, risk simulation is carried out by Monte Carlo simulation method, so as to realize the calculation and grading of risk.