世界“百年未有之大变局”全面展开

Major Changes Unseen in a Century are Unfolding

2019年国际战略格局深度调整,"东升西降""南升北降"大势所趋,新科技革命方兴未艾,非国家行为体影响上升,全球秩序重塑伴随失序无序风险,人类社会机遇与挑战并存。"美国优先"令大国竞争再度走强,中美战略博弈尤为激烈。地区热点起伏不定,地缘角力错综复杂,多国政局波动不已。美国单边主义加剧全球治理赤字,气候变暖等全球性挑战更显紧迫。西方民粹主义泛滥折射制度困境,一些国家分离主义与极端思潮发酵。

International structure has experienced profound adjustments in 2019,the rise of the East and the fall of the West,the rise of the South and the fall of the North represent the general trend,new scientific and technological revolution is developing in full swing,the influence of non-state actors is on the rise,the reshaping of global order is accompanied by risks of disorder."America first"strengthened the competition among major powers,especially the strategic game between China and the US.Regional hotspots are volatile,geopolitical tussles are complex,and the political situation of many countries is constantly fluctuating.US Unilateralism has exacerbated the deficit in global governance and made global challenges such as climate change more urgent.The spread of populism in the West reflects the institutional dilemma,separatism and extremism in some countries is also on the rise.