摘要
文章基于全国227个城市2011~2015年的面板数据,运用空间计量模型和系统广义矩估计(SGMM)等多种计量方法检验了低保救助制度对犯罪率的影响,研究结果显示:(1)低保享受人数每增加1%,犯罪率将会减少0.065%,且运用检察院批捕率作为犯罪率的替代指标进行稳健性检验,结果仍然稳健。(2)东部地区低保救助制度对犯罪率的影响显著低于其他地区。贫困城市中低保救助制度减少犯罪率的效果更加显著。另外,少数民族聚居城市中低保救助制度对犯罪率的影响与其他城市没有显著区别。文章的政策含义是,完善低保救助制度能够提升社会的和谐与稳定水平。
Based on panel data from Chinese 227 cities from 2011 through 2015,the paper examines the influence exerted by the Basic Living Allowance System on the crime rate by various methods of measurement,such as the spatial econometric model and SGMM.Research results are:(1)When the number of people incorporated into the Basic Living Allowance System increased 1%,it reduced the crime rate by 0.065%,and this result was also steady after checking the arrested rate by procuratorates as an alternative measure on the crime rate.(2)The effect of the Basic Living Allowance System on the crime rate in eastern China was significantly smaller than that in other regions and this was more significant in poor cities.In addition,for the impact of the Basic Living Allowance System on the crime rate,there were no significant variations between the cities with concentrations of ethnic minorities and other cities.The policy implication of this article is that social harmony and stability can be improved by refining the system of subsistence allowance.
作者
杜建军
刘立佳
徐吟川
Du Jianjun;Liu Lijia;Xu Yinchuan(Shanghai University of Political Science and Law,Shanghai;Shanghai Dianji University,Shanghai;Shanghai University of Finance and Economics,Shanghai)
出处
《经济社会体制比较》
CSSCI
北大核心
2020年第2期57-66,共10页
Comparative Economic & Social Systems
基金
中国——上海合作组织国际司法交流合作培训基地研究基金项目“二元结构体系对城市公安全的潜在威胁研究”(项目编号:CNSC017041)
国家社会科学基金重点项目“人口老龄化对我国社会医疗保险体系可持续性影响研究”(项目编号:15AJY022)。
关键词
低保救助制度
犯罪率
贫富差距
人均可支配收入
Basic Living Allowance System
Crime Rate
Gap between Rich and Poor
Per Capita Disposable Income
