不同技术创新途径与产业结构升级动态互动关系研究

Research on Dynamic Interaction Relationship between Different Technological Innovation Approaches and Industrial Structure Upgrading

运用2009-2017年中国内地30个省份相关数据和PVAR模型,对自主创新、合作创新、技术引进、产业结构合理化及高级化间的动态互动关系进行实证研究。结果发现:①自主创新对合作创新和技术引进在短期内为负向影响,在长期内为正向影响,合作创新对自主创新始终为正向影响,对技术引进在短期内为正向影响,在长期内为负向影响,技术引进对自主创新和合作创新始终起负向作用;②自主创新和合作创新在短期内不利于产业结构升级,但长期内对产业结构升级起促进作用,技术引进始终不利于产业结构升级;③中国产业结构合理化现状在短期内对合作创新和技术引进起负向作用,在长期内对3种技术创新途径均起正向作用,高级化对3种技术创新途径始终起正向作用;④产业结构合理化和高级化发展在短期内不一致,但在长期内表现一致。因此,为提高中国技术创新水平、实现产业结构升级,应坚持走自主创新和合作创新的技术发展道路。

Using the relevant data of 30 provinces in China from 2009 to 2017 and the PVAR model,an empirical study was conducted on the dynamic interaction between independent innovation,cooperative innovation,technology introduction,rationalization of industrial structure and upgrading of industrial structure.The research finds that independent innovation has a negative impact on cooperative innovation and technology introduction in the short term,and positive impact in the long term.Cooperative innovation has a positive impact on independent innovation,and it has a positive impact on technology introduction in the short term and a negative impact in the long term.Technology introduction has a negative impact on independent innovation and cooperative innovation.Independent innovation and cooperative innovation are not conducive to the upgrading of the industrial structure in the short term,but promote the upgrading of the industrial structure in the long term.Technology introduction is always not conducive to the upgrading of the industrial structure.The rationalization of China's industrial structure will have a negative impact on cooperative innovation and technology introduction in the short term,but will have a positive impact on technological innovation in the long term.The upgrading of industrial structure will always have a positive impact.The development of the rationalization of industrial structure and upgrading of industrial structure is inconsistent in the short term,but it is consistent in the long term.Therefore,in order to improve China's technological innovation level and achieve industrial structure upgrading,we should adhere to the technological development path of independent innovation and cooperative innovation.