发展中国家货币危机以及对中国的启示

The Currency Crisis in Developing Countries and Its Implications for China

本文主要以阿根廷、土耳其和印度尼西亚这三个发展中国家为例,通过介绍各自货币危机发生的情况和原因,寻找共性并进行总结,提炼出发展中国家容易引发货币危机的主要原因:长期面临高外债、高通胀、国家经济结构单一和外汇储备偿债能力不足。并针对这些原因,结合我国当前经济发展特点,提出了要未雨绸缪,避免发生货币危机的对策建议:即保持外债负债率整体可控,警惕外债债务率过高、保持外汇储备偿债能力充足,增持黄金等稳定的外汇资产和控制货币供应量,抑制通货膨胀。

This article mainly by Argentina,Turkey and Indonesia,for example,the three developing countries through the introduction of the situation and the reasons of their currency crisis,finding the commonness and summarize,refine easy to cause the main reason of currency crisis in developing countries:have long faced high debt,high inflation and the national economic structure of the single and foreign exchange reserves insufficient solvency.And for these reasons,combined with the characteristics of the current economic development in our country,avoid a currency crisis countermeasures:that maintain a foreign debt leverage the overall control,high debt debt ratios,to keep foreign exchange reserves sufficient solvency the stable foreign exchange assets,such as increased gold and control the money supply,avoid inflation.