2015—2018年上海市浦东新区手足口病空间特征分析

Spatialcharacteristics analysis of hand,foot and mouth disease in Pudong New Area of Shanghai,2015-2018

目的了解2015—2018年上海市浦东新区手足口病的空间流行特征,为防治工作提供参考依据。方法利用SPSS 21.0软件对手足口病报告发病率数据进行统计分析,应用ArcGIS 10.2.2软件制作手足口病地理分布图,利用OpenGeoDa软件进行空间自相关分析。结果上海市浦东新区各街镇手足口病报告发病率的全局Moran’s I自相关系数为0.38,具有统计学意义(P=0.001);局部空间自相关发现有5个街镇处于高—高区域。结论上海市浦东新区各街镇手足口病报告发病率地理分布具有空间聚集性,报告发病率从北至南降低。

Objective To understand the spatial epidemic characteristics of hand-foot-mouth disease in Pudong New Area of Shanghai from 2015 to 2018,and to provide reference for prevention and control.Methods SPSS 21.0 software was used for statistical analysis of the reported incidence of hand-foot-mouth disease,ArcGIS 10.2 software was used to make geographic distribution map,and OpenGeoDa software was used to make spatial autocorrelation analysis.Results The global Moran's I autocorrelation coefficient of the reported incidence rate of hand-foot-mouth disease in various streets and towns in Pudong New Area of Shanghai was 0.38,which was statistically significant(P=0.001).Local spatial autocorrelation analysis found that 5 streets were in high-high area.Conclusion The geographical distribution of reported incidence of hand-foot-mouth disease in various streets and towns of Pudong New Area in Shanghai was spatially aggregated,and the reported incidence decreased from north to south.