河南省农产品出口影响因素实证分析

An Empirical Analysis of the Influencing Factors of Agricultural Products Export in Henan Province

探讨河南省农产品贸易现状,分析产业链、出口市场、绿色贸易壁垒等方面的问题。构建计量模型,利用2000-2018年度贸易数据,从农业增加值、对外经济合作、汇率、国际市场占有率、关税6个方面对农产品出口贸易影响度进行实证分析。研究表明:农业增加值对农产品出口有显著影响;国际市场占有率对农产品出口有显著正效应;关税越高,农产品出口限制越强。基于此,提出加强国际市场研究、提高农产品质量、壮大龙头企业、构建监督检测新体系等相应对策,从而促进农产品贸易快速发展。

Analyze the current situation of agricultural products trade in Henan Province through agricultural production,international market share,etc.At the same time,it puts forward the prominent problems of short industrial chain,concentrated export market,green trade barriers,etc.,builds a measurement model,and uses 2000-2018 trade data Empirical analysis of the impact of agricultural value added,foreign economic cooperation,exchange rate,international market share,and tariffs on agricultural product export trade.Studies have shown that:agricultural added value has a significant impact on agricultural product exports;international market share has a significant positive effect on agricultural product exports;the higher the tariff,the stronger the agricultural product export restrictions.Based on this,it is proposed to strengthen the research on the international market,improve the quality of agricultural products,expand leading enterprises,and build a new system of supervision and inspection to countermeasures,thereby promoting the rapid development of agricultural trade.