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新冠病毒肺炎疫情对中国经济影响的测度分析 被引量:124

Measurement and Analysis of the COVID-19 Epidemic Impact on China's Economy
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摘要 研究目标:测度并分析新冠病毒肺炎疫情发生至今对中国经济的影响。研究方法:事件回顾研究法、纵横向分析法、比较静态分析法和路径分析法。研究发现:新冠病毒肺炎疫情持续发展,对我国经济产生了重要影响,如产出下降、消费减少、投资下降、外贸受限、产业发展遭受较大损失、金融机构风险增加、短期内资本市场波动比较激烈等。我国经济发展正处于关键时期,需在疫情后争创经济持续稳定发展。研究创新:经过全方位信息分析,本文探究了新冠病毒肺炎疫情发展对我国经济、产业、金融等各领域产生的影响及其具体路径。研究价值:既为抗击新冠病毒肺炎疫情后稳定经济提供政策层面、经济层面和金融层面的对策建议,也为有关理论研究的深入开展提供借鉴。 Research Objectives:This paper measures and analyzes the impact of the COVID-19 epidemic on China's economy.Research Methods:This paper uses event review method,vertical and horizontal analysis method,comparative static analysis method,and path analysis method.Research Findings:The COVID-19 epidemic has an important impact on China's economy,such as output decreasing,consumption reducing,investment decreasing,foreign trade limitation,financial intermediates risk increasing,heavy losses in industrial development,and overall pessimistic mood in the financial system.China's economic development is in a critical period,so we need to strive for sustainable economic development after the COVID-19 epidemic.Research Innovations:Through all-round information analysis,this paper explores the specific path and the important characteristics of the impact of the COVID-19 epidemic on China's economy,industry and finance.Research Value:This paper not only provides policy suggestions on policy level,industry level,innovation level and financial level for the resumption of production and the stabilization of economy after the COVID-19 epidemic,but also provides reference for the in-depth development of related theoretical research.
作者 何诚颖 闻岳春 常雅丽 耿晓旭 He Chengying;Wen Yuechun;Chang Yali;Geng Xiaoxu(School of Business,Guangxi University;International College,Guangxi University)
出处 《数量经济技术经济研究》 CSSCI CSCD 北大核心 2020年第5期3-22,共20页 Journal of Quantitative & Technological Economics
基金 国家社会科学基金青年项目“‘一带一路’金融合作与开放视角下中国金融系统结构性稳定的影响因素与风险产生机制研究”(18CJY059)的资助.
关键词 新冠病毒肺炎疫情 政策 经济 金融 COVID-19 Epidemic Policy Economy Finance
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