中铁投资印尼雅万高铁的效益及风险分析

Risks and Countermeasures of China Motor Train Investment in Indonesia’s Yawan High-speed Railway

雅加达-万隆高速铁路是中国和印尼两国"互联互通"的标志性项目,雅万高铁项目正稳定推进。雅万高铁项目的运行不仅满足了印尼对于基础设施建设的强烈需求,同时对于发挥中国高铁的技术和竞争优势具有重要的经济意义,对于整个东南亚及"一带一路"沿线国家都将产生示范效应。然而在项目的实施过程中也遇到了投资模式方面、政治环境方面、自然条件方面、财务方面以及运营方面等风险。深入研究这几类风险发生的机制,提出多维度持续改进规避政治风险,严把工程质量关,攻克技术难题,最大限度规避自然风险,加强资金管控,及时关注市场变化多角度防范财务风险,与相关利益方合作克服运营方面的困难以应对运营风险。

Indonesia is an important partner of the 21st Century Maritime Silk Road initiative in Southeast Asia. The Jakarta-Bandung High-Speed Railway linking between China and Indonesia is an iconic project. The Jakarta-Bandung High-Speed Railway project in Indonesia, known as the "the first overseas order" China Motor Company, is now under construction. The operation of The Jakarta-Bandung High-Speed Railway project not only meets Indonesia’s strong demand for infrastructure construction, but also has important economic significance for exerting the technology and competitive advantage of China’s high-speed rail, which will have a demonstration effect for the whole Southeast Asia and the countries along the Belt and Road. However, in the implementation of the project also encountered risks in investment model aspects, the political environment aspect, the natural condition aspect, the financial aspect and the operational aspect, etc. The mechanism of these kinds of risks should be deeply studied, and corresponding preventive countermeasures should be made for different kinds of risks.