电力突发事件综合风险定量分析技术的研究

Research on Quantitative Analysis Technology for Comprehensive Risk ofElectric Power Emergency

掌握突发事件的风险属性有利于应急准备和处置工作,在分析近年来电力行业突发事件相关数据的基础上,梳理了典型电力突发事件,针对各类突发事件对人身安全、电网安全、设备安全等方面造成的综合影响,构建电力突发事件综合风险的计算模型,并对突发事件的风险值进行了计算,为电力行业的应急预案编制和应急处置工作提升提供支撑.

Knowing well the risk attribute of emergencies is conducive to emergency preparation and disposal.Based on the analysis of relevant data of emergency events in the electric power industry in recent years,typical power emergencies are combed.Aiming at the comprehensive impacts of various emergencies on personal safety,equipment safety,power system security,etc.,a calculation model for the comprehensive risk of power emergencies is constructed and the risk value of emergencies for the power industry is calculated,which provides support to the improvement of emergency preparedness and disposal.