全面两孩政策背景下育龄晚期妇女生育意愿及生育行为研究

A Study on the Fertility Intention and Behavior of Women of Late Childbearing Age in the Context of the Two-child Policy

育龄晚期妇女受历史和个人因素的影响,其生育意愿与生育行为在全面两孩政策背景下更具有特征性。育龄晚期妇女的生育水平在很大程度上能够代表育龄人群的终身生育水平,基于2017年全国生育状况抽样调查中海南省的数据,利用结构方程模型对海南省40~49岁育龄晚期妇女的生育意愿与生育行为之间的关系进行探究,发现海南省育龄晚期妇女的生育意愿与生育行为之间具有显著的相互促进作用。提出加大全面两孩政策宣传力度,完善两孩政策相关配套设施,建立孕产家庭生育关怀制度,以此提升育龄妇女的生育意愿。

Influenced by historical and personal factors,women of late childbearing age have more characteristics in their fertility intention and behavior under the background of the two-child policy.The fertility level of late childbearing age woman can represent the lifetime fertility level of childbearing age people.Based on the data of Hainan Province in the 2017 national fertility sampling survey,this paper uses the structural equation model to explore the relationship between the fertility willingness and fertility behavior of women aged 40-49 in Hainan Province.It is found that there is a significant interaction between the fertility intention and behavior of women aged 40~49 in Hainan Province.It is proposed to intensify the publicity of the two-child policy,improve the construction of supporting facilities for the two-child policy,and establish the family care system for pregnant and childbirth.