“21世纪海上丝绸之路”沿线国家海域资源勘探和油气投资环境评价

EVALUATION ON MARINE RESOURCES EXPLORATION AND OIL-GAS INVESTMENT ENVIRONMENT IN COUNTRIES ALONG “THE 21ST CENTURY MARITIME SILK ROAD”

深入了解"21世纪海上丝绸之路"重点沿线国家的海域资源勘探和开发情况以及其油气投资环境,有助于筛选出有合作基础或有合作前景的国家和地区,从而顺利展开双边或多边国家的海洋地质调查合作和投资活动,降低勘探开发和投资风险。采用标准差修正G1方法构建评价指标体系对东南亚和南亚15个国家进行分析,该体系包括10个一级指标58个二级指标。结果表明:印度、印度尼西亚和马来西亚的整体评价得分最高,印度的海域资源及勘查情况评价得分最高,新加坡的政治环境和社会人文环境评价得分最高,印度尼西亚的油气资源评价得分最高,缅甸在对外开放与合作评价方面较为突出。结合最新的国别外交态势和合作交流情况,认为缅甸、巴基斯坦、柬埔寨、马来西亚和新加坡等国家为海域资源勘探和油气投资的重点合作国家,印度尼西亚、文莱、泰国、东帝汶、孟加拉国具有良好的合作基础或前景。

It makes sense to understand the exploration and development of marine resources and oil-gas investment environment in countries along "the 21st century maritime silk road" for choosing potential cooperation countries in marine geological survey and investment with the purpose of decreasing exploration and investment risks. This paper uses the revised G1 method by standard deviation to set up an evaluation index system composed of 10 tier-1 indexes and 58 tier-2 indexes, which is used to analyze the 15 southeastern and southern Asian countries. Results show that those on top are India, Indonesia and Malaysia in general scores, India in marine resources and exploration, Singapore in political and social environment, Indonesia in oil-gas evaluation, and Burma showing an outstanding aspect in openness and cooperation. In light of the latest international diplomatic situation and cooperation, Burma, Pakistan, Cambodia, Malaysia and Singapore are key nations in marine resources exploration and oil-gas investment, and Indonesia, Brunei, Thailand, East Timor, Bangladesh have good basis or prospects for cooperation.